Guest Blogger: Insight Analytical – Why Modern Polls Are Total Crap.

Thanks to Insight Analytical for providing this amazing insiders view on the history of and modern goings on in the world of polling.
IA is a former pollster and study director for companies such as Gallup, and even has some good inside scoop on Zogby.  This is a must read for anyone interested in politics.
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McCain Up In NV & OH, Obama LOSING African American Vote BADLY in NV, Low In OH.

The overall news out of Nevada and Ohio is not very shocking…  McCain is beating Obama in the polls.
What is a very surprising development is that McCain is CRUSHING Barack Obama in the African-American/Black demographic  in Nevada and Obama isn’t even over the 50% mark in Ohio.
From RCP in NV
African-American/Black  Demographic
McCain                            Obama
73%                                  26%
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And In Ohio from RCP
McCain                           [...]

You Know How Most Candidates Get A Bounce…

You know how most candidates get a bounce after they name their VP and during their convention…
Apparently that is not working out so well for Barack…
The newest Gallup daily tracking poll has it at McCain 46, Obama 44.
Not good news.

The Times UK: “Yes, We Can?” Make That “Oops We May Not.” Cancel The Coronation…

There is an absolutely fantastic article in the Times about the race between Obama and McCain…  just amazing.  I encourage everyone to read it.
CLICK HERE
There’s trouble in paradise. Cancel the coronation. Send back the commemorative medals. Put those “Yes We Can” T-shirts up on eBay. Keep the Change.
Barack Obama’s historic procession to the American presidency [...]

Wasn’t Obama Supposed To Bring New People Into The Party? Yeah, Guess Again.

The Party and pundits have been saying for months that the superstar Barack Obama was going to bring all sorts of new people into the party.  This meme is even one of the justifications that the “Obamatrons” have used when telling Clinton supporters to “stay home” or to “get out of the Party” and that [...]

USA Today/Gallup Has McCain Up By 4… Beating Obama.

In a very intresting development, the latest USA Today/Gallup poll has McCain up by 4 when including “Likely Voters.”
I am not putting TOOOOO much stock in this just yet, but it is just one more poll that shows the race between the two candidates tightening…  and that is not supposed to be happening LOL.
USA TODAY
“Republican [...]

WaPo reiterates – Obama Losing Ground, McCain Gaining.

From WaPo
“Republican John McCain has quickly closed the gap between himself and Democratic rival Sen. Barack Obama in several key battleground states even as the Arizona senator struggles to break through the wall-to-wall coverage of Obama’s trip to Europe and the Middle East this week. “
“McCain and Obama are in a statistical dead heat in [...]

The Polls Are Not Looking Good For Obama – Losing Ohio, Tied In New York, Michigan, New Hampshire, And Nationally

You know,  you would never know that this is supposed to be a year that any Democrat should waltz into the White House by looking at the polls…
McCain is up by 10pts in Ohio (Click Here)
National Polls show them tied (Click Here)
McCain and Obama are statistically tied in NH (Click Here)
McCain and Obama are statistically [...]

Obama’s Candidacy Puts New York Into Play – May Go Red

Robbedvoter at NotYourSweetie does a great job putting together a variety of polls and trends showing Obama’s numbers in New York state vs John McCain…  and it turns out that he is not doing so well.
How the hell does a Democrat risk losing NY?!?!?!?!?
Seriously friggin amazing. 
Please God, wake up the Super Delegates.
Click Here for the Robbedvoter’s story.