Gallup: McCain Gains Ground – Obama +2

Gallup The gap between Barack Obama and John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Saturday through Monday has narrowed slightly, and Obama is now at 49% of the vote to 47% for McCain among likely voters using Gallup’s traditional model…. The two percentage point margin for Obama over McCain in today’s traditional likely voters [...]

Guest Blogger: Insight Analytical – Why Modern Polls Are Total Crap.

Thanks to Insight Analytical for providing this amazing insiders view on the history of and modern goings on in the world of polling. IA is a former pollster and study director for companies such as Gallup, and even has some good inside scoop on Zogby.  This is a must read for anyone interested in politics. [...]

The Inside Scoop On How Polling Works

This is from a post on Insight Analytical (a favorite of mine) called “Musings on Pollsters:  Confessions of a Former Gallup Study Director.”  I highly suggest you follow the link to read the whole thing, it is amazingly informative, but here is a bit to get you started.  You will get the inside scoop on [...]

Gallup: Likely Voters – Obama 49, McCain 47!!!

Gallup The “traditional” likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections. Today’s results show Obama with a two-point [...]

Gallup Daily Tracking – Tied Again At 46%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110668/Gallup-Daily-Race-Back-Tie-46-Each.aspx PRINCETON, NJ — John McCain has gained ground and is now tied with Barack Obama among registered voters in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update for Sept. 22-24, with each candidate getting 46% support.

Gallup Daily Tracking – McCain Up By 3pts

GALLUP The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.

Gallup Poll – Obama/Biden Convention Bounce Slipping – 48/42

It seems the bounce that the Democrats were hoping for at the end of the Convention in Denver failed to meet expectations and is now slipping away entirely. The Democrats were hoping for a 15pt bounce out of the announcement of Biden as the VP pick, as well as the “Unity Week” in Denver.  The [...]

Obama Gets 5pt Bounce Thanks To Bill and Hill

GALLUP Hillary and Bill’s speeches of unity and support for Obama have given him a 5 point bounce.  It was bound to happen, and he will probably get another bounce after his speech at Invesco…  perhaps another 5-7 points, but that should be short lived because the Republican Convention is coming up and so is [...]

You Know How Most Candidates Get A Bounce…

You know how most candidates get a bounce after they name their VP and during their convention… Apparently that is not working out so well for Barack… The newest Gallup daily tracking poll has it at McCain 46, Obama 44. Not good news.

USA Today/Gallup Has McCain Up By 4… Beating Obama.

In a very intresting development, the latest USA Today/Gallup poll has McCain up by 4 when including “Likely Voters.” I am not putting TOOOOO much stock in this just yet, but it is just one more poll that shows the race between the two candidates tightening…  and that is not supposed to be happening LOL. [...]